Statements are made, then the reality follows. Here is a list of 24 historical quotes
probably believed when they were first spoken but have since been proven to be
very wrong. There's one I've always liked, but since I don't have the exact quote or the date I didn't include it as part of this list. It's a quote attributed to Bill Gates of Microsoft. To paraphrase, it went something like this: No one will ever need more than 64K of memory.
24) "There is
not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be
shattered at will."
--Albert Einstein,
1932
23) "We don't
like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out."
--Decca Recording
Company on refusing to sign the Beatles, 1962
22) "This
'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of
communication. The device is inherently
of no value to us."
--Western Union
internal memo, 1876
21) "Reagan
doesn't have that presidential look."
--United Artists
executive after rejecting Reagan as lead in the 1964 film THE BEST MAN.
20) "Train
travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe,
would die of asphyxia."
--Dr. Dionysius
Lardner, 1830
19) "I think
there is a world market for maybe five computers."
--Thomas Watson,
chairman of IBM, 1943
18) "X-rays will
prove to be a hoax."
--Lord Kelvin,
President of the Royal Society, 1883
17) "Everyone
acquainted with the subject will recognize it as a conspicuous failure."
--Henry Morton,
president of the Stevens Institute of Technology, on Edison's light bulb, 1880
16) The horse is here
to stay but the automobile is only a novelty—a fad."
--The president of
the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford's lawyer not to invest in the
Ford Motor Co., 1903
15) "Television
won't last because people will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every
night."
--Darryl Zanuck,
movie producer, 20th Century Fox, 1946
14) "No one will
pay good money to get from Berlin to Potsdam in one hour when he can ride his
horse there in one day for free."
--King William I of
Prussia on trains in 1864
13) "There is no
reason for any individual to have a computer in his home."
--Ken Olson,
president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corporation (DEC), in a
talk given to a 1977 World Future Society meeting in Boston
12) "If
excessive smoking actually plays a role in the production of lung cancer, it
seems to be a minor one."
--W.C. Heuper,
National Cancer Institute, 1954
11) "No, it will
make war impossible."
--Hiram Maxim,
inventor of the machine gun, in response to the question "Will this gun
not make war more terrible?" from Havelock Ellis, an English scientist,
1893
10) "The
wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in
particular?"
--Associates of
David Sarnoff responding to the latter's call for investment in the radio in
1921
9) "There will
never be a bigger plane built."
--A Boeing engineer
after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that held ten people
(pictured above)
8) "How, sir,
would you make a ship sail against the wind and currents by lighting a bonfire
under her deck? I pray you, excuse me, I
have not the time to listen to such nonsense."
--Napoleon
Bonaparte, when told of Robert Fulton's steamboat, 1800s
7) "The idea
that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It is little short of treasonous."
--Comment of
Aide-de-camp to Field Marshal Haig, at tank demonstration 1916
6) "I must
confess that my imagination refuses to see any sort of submarine doing anything
but suffocating its crew and floundering at sea."
--HG Wells, British
novelist, in 1901
5) "The world
potential market for copying machines is 5000 at most."
--IBM, to the
eventual founders of Xerox, saying the photocopier had no market large enough
to justify production, 1959
4) "It'll be
gone by June."
--Variety Magazine
on Rock n' Roll, 1955
3) "And for the
tourist who really wants to get away from it all, safaris in Vietnam."
--Newsweek,
predicting popular holidays for the late 1960s
2) "When the
Paris Exhibition [of 1878] closes, electric light will close with it and no
more will be heard of it."
--Oxford professor
Erasmus Wilson
1) "A rocket
will never be able to leave the Earth's atmosphere."
--New York Times,
1936
12 comments:
Thanks for the chuckles. Kicked my brain into gear, actually. Now you have me thinking about all the stuff I don't believe will ever happen. :)
Excellent list!! Based on all those predictions, "Never say never" is good advice.
What a wonderful list! I laughed at most of them. Reminds of current pundits so sure of their 'facts'..
Some of these are really funny!
Thank you! Lovely. I note #7 about cavalry. My Uncle Paul who was French actually rode into World War II on a horse. Some things don't die, they just pile up. :)
Sandra: There are lots of things that seem improbable and even impossible to us today, but many of them will be reality somewhere in the future. Maybe even in the near future.
Thanks for your comment.
Luanna: Yep, never say never is good advice. Same as never say always. :)
Thank for your comment.
Barbara: Yes...somewhere out there is a person making a definitive prediction that will have future generations laughing at the absurdity.
Thanks for your comment.
Jennifer: I was definitely laughing at several of them. What was so obvious back them is now the subject of humor.
Thanks for your comment.
M.S.: I think the one that surprised me the most was Einstein--Nobel prize winning scientist saying we'd never be able to split the atom.
Thanks for your comment.
Was just thinking of this the other day – how new inventions were always looked at with skepticism, or outright dismissed. Your list proves these dismissals came from people who should have known better. Thanks for posting!
Cat: Yes, it's surprising how such short-sighted thoughts and actions can come from people who should know better, people who have the knowledge and background to be able to visualize the reality.
Thanks for your comment.
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